21 May 2021
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It’s been a poor 2021 for the south coast side so far, especially when you compare their form to last year.
Indeed, across the league in 2020 they went at a rate of a respectable 1.65 points per game, though since the turn of the year, that has more than halved to 0.81 ppg despite beating Liverpool in their opening game, which was their last victory against a top half side, and they’ll just be thankful that they weren’t entirely dragged down into a relegation scrap.
West Ham looked laboured for much of their game against the Baggies on Wednesday night, and it required two late goals to settle the score for David Moyes’ men so we wouldn’t be confident of them running riot, though a home win is very much on the cards here.
The Hammers have only lost to one side ranked 10th or below this season which is a remarkable feat and is the reason they have been in the hunt for the top four for much of the campaign, their shortcoming being their D1-L7 record against the current top four.
West Ham To Win And Over 2.5 Goals
A goalless stalemate in the reverse fixture was the first head-to-head the Saints haven’t lost since August 2017, with the London side winning the five previous meetings, including all three at home, scoring exactly three times in each.
The sole reservation, however, is that fact that a draw will do for West Ham and the ever-pragmatic David Moyes will be hesitant should they take the lead, leaving their price slightly too short to get behind on it’s own, though it’s certainly worth coupling considering the visitors have lost nine of their last 10 away games, with the exception coming against league whipping-boys Sheffield United.
Goals always seem to increase toward the end of the season and this year has been no different. Over the last five seasons, successful over 2.5 goals bets increase from 52% in the first 37 game weeks to 64% on the final day, while both these sides have seen that overs bet land in the majority of their last 10 fixtures.
West Ham To Win And Over 2.5 Goals At 13/10
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