19 Nov 2019
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It has been an utterly disappointing time for West Ham supporters after witnessing their side lose four of six winless matches dating back to late September, as they sit down in 16th place.
It hasn’t exactly been much better for Spurs as they too are performing well below par, picking up just three points from their last five winless matches since October dropping them from sixth to 14th in the table, which has led to the sacking of manager Mauricio Pochettino this week.
The Hammers have gone W2-D1-L3 at the London Stadium this season, although both their victories over Norwich and Man Utd came back in September, as they’ve since lost two of their last three here.
Palace and Newcastle both took maximum points, while Sheffield Utd secured a draw having gone in 1-0 down at the break.
However, although Man City thumped them 5-0 on the opening weekend of this season, they’ve been largely respectable hosting the ‘Big Six’ since the start of last term, losing just three of eight such fixtures.
Mourinho Returns
Jose Mourinho has taken the hot seat at Spurs now following the departure of Pochettino. Indeed, Daniel Levy’s hand was rather forced to bring in new management given that form, but the Argentinian had an admirable 55.9% winning percentage across his 202 Premier League games, while his Portuguese replacement since the start of his second stint at Chelsea has a slightly improved 56.8% from his 185 outings.
Interestingly though, the percentage of matches that Mourinho oversaw that ended in draws is 3.53% higher in comparison, which is perhaps down to his defensive playing style.
Spurs Poor On The Road
It’s no secret how poor the Lilywhites have been on the road and we somewhat doubt the new gaffer can turn that around in an instance, losing nine of 12 winless outings since they overturned Fulham at the Cottage in January, conceding in all of them and more than once in nine.
However, if we take a closer look at those fixtures we can see that they visited strong sides Chelsea, Liverpool (twice), Man City (twice), Arsenal, and Leicester in that time.
However, they’ve only trailed at the break in one from these 12 clashes, while they’ve gone in with the lead in three, so it’s their second half performances that need some tinkering with.
West Ham And Spurs To Draw
That still isn’t enough evidence to suggest they can turn over their hosts, the chances of which are further hampered seeing as defender Jan Vertonghen remains on the sidelines.
Indeed, in their last 10 outings without the Belgian international starting they’ve gone just W1-D4-L5, while that compares to a much improved W5-D2-L3 in their last 10 with him.
Moreover, they failed to keep a single clean sheet when missing the centre back across those fixtures, including a 1-0 defeat hosting West Ham at the end of last season.
Manuel Pellegrini has some injury troubles of his own though, with star keeper Lukasz Fabianski still out, as well as Mark Noble and Manuel Lanzini. It’s the goalkeeper’s absence that is the most worrying as they’ve lost four of five winless matches without him since he signed last season (their past five games), while none of those came against any of the top sides.
They conceded in all of them, with Sheffield Utd the best in terms of current league position, while Burnley are next in line in that regard.
That’s a 40% drop in their winning rate without him between the sticks and although it’s just a small sample, we don’t fancy the hosts in the outright either.
Instead, the best angle looks to be in backing the draw, as that was the case for the hosts against the Blades without Fabianski, while it’s also occurred in half of Spurs’ six trips this season and with it being a derby anyway, it looks set to be a cagey affair.
0.5 Pts: West Ham And Spurs To Draw At 3/1
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