16 Dec 2019
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These two Premier League sides will face off against one another for the second time this season, only this time around the circumstances will be very different.
For starters it’ll be knockout football and they’ll both want to earn a spot in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, while the other differing factor will be Liverpool fielding a completely changed team made up of their Under-23s, with the main squad heading out to Qatar for the FIFA Club World Cup.
The last time they met Aston Villa succumbed to defeat by a one-goal margin after Andy Robertson and Sadio Mane both scored within the final three minutes of that game to come from behind and take maximum points.
However, the Birmingham outfit had to endure that game without star player Jack Grealish in the line-up that day.
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In the 46 games the midfield maestro has started since the beginning of last season they’ve won an impressive 21 of their matches (46%) and scored 1.83 goals per game, while this is drastically depleted in the 17 without him over that period to just three victories (18%) and 1.24 gpg (32% reduction).
The Reds’ ‘kids’ are hardly going to cause too much damage, even if some of them took a visiting Arsenal side to penalties in an extraordinary 5-5 stalemate after 90 minutes in the previous round.
However, Jurgen Klopp still had the likes of Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Adam Lallana, Divock Origi, James Milner, Naby Keita and Joe Gomez that day, who he’ll take with him on the plane as he leaves Under-23 boss Neil Critchley to do a job on the Villans.
Aston Villa -1 Handicap
Dean Smith’s men have won three of their last five matches at Villa Park, as all but one of them saw more than two strikes. The only defeats came against Liverpool themselves with a full-strength team, as well as Brendan Rodgers’ impressive Foxes outfit, as they beat Brighton, Wolves and Newcastle.
Moreover, prior to Brighton’s trip to Selhurst Park on Monday night, Villa have won three of four unbeaten matches hosting teams that have picked up just one point or fewer per game this season.
Half of those games saw them triumph by more than a single goal and that looks the way to go again in this one against a much depleted Liverpool side.
Aston Villa -1 Handicap At 4/6
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