24 Dec 2019
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Recent Form
A calamitous David de Gea error and a clumsy challenge from Aaron Wan-Bissaka gifted Watford two goals in a matter of minutes and ensured Man Utd continue to struggle against the sides lower than them in the table.
Steve Bruce’s side ensured they will be in the top half of the table at Christmas with a big victory over Crystal Palace, while a second victory over the Red Devils this season would see the Magpies leapfrog their opponents.
Both sides have very similar home and away records, with them picking up 16 of their 25 points this season on home turf, though 10 of Man United’s have come against teams currently above them, while they’re just W1-D3-L1 against the sides below them on home turf and the Toon Army will be motivated by the opportunity to do the double over their fierce rivals, and look extremely well priced to do so.
What’s more, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has been heavily reliant on penalties since taking the job full time, with only a 7% win rate with spot-kicks excluded during that time.
Newcastle / Draw - Double chance
Newcastle are one of only two clubs this season not to concede a penalty and with only 2 goals conceded in their last four games, Bruce is beginning to find a way to strengthen his backline without Jamaal Lascelles so the visitors are well priced to get something and with the Red Devils’ three draws from their five games with teams chasing them, the double chance provides adequate cover.
Under 2.5 Goals
Solskjaer highlighted Paul Pogba’s return to the fray as the only positive from their weekend as the Frenchman provided some missing creativity from deeper in midfield, though with Newcastle unlikely to play a high line at the ‘Theatre of Dreams’ his ability to put long balls on a sixpence may be trivial, and with Newcastle keeping it tight with four of their last five away matches seeing a maximum of two goals, we can see the same outcome again.
Newcastle / Draw - Double chance At 2/1
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