13 Dec 2020
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TOTTENHAM V LEICESTER
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Roberto Firmino’s late winner stuck a dagger in Tottenham hearts, but the wound isn’t fatal and Jose Mourinho’s men are only three points adrift of the new league leaders despite the 2-1 loss.
They also had opportunities to land another blow, with Steven Bergwijn particularly culpable after passing up two great chances, while Harry Kane inexplicably headed into the ground and over the bar from close range.
That was just Tottenham’s second defeat in 22 appearances across all competitions, and their first in 11, though there has been a slight downturn of late as they’ve won just two of the past six (W2-D3-L1).
Still, Tottenham have more than demonstrated their big-game credentials this term. Man City and Arsenal have both been taken down within the last month, as a useful point was also picked up at Chelsea, while they humiliated Man Utd 6-1 at Old Trafford back in October.
Over 2.5 Goals
Four of Spurs’ six meetings in all competitions with the traditional ‘Big Six’ sides this term have seen fewer than three goals, though we wouldn’t bank on that here.
Six of the last seven head-to-heads with Leicester have featured at least three strikes, with 16 goals shared across these, as Tottenham ran out 3-0 winners at this venue in Mourinho’s sole clash with Leicester in his current job.
The Portuguese coach holds a good record against Brendan Rodgers and that win in July took him to five victories from seven unbeaten clashes with the Northern Irishman.
In fact, he’s gone W8-D1-L1 versus Leicester since first encountering them as Chelsea boss back in August 2014, with the sole defeat coming at the King Power during the Foxes’ title-winning campaign.
Eight of the 10 games also saw a minimum of three goals, and we’d get behind that here with the visitors often involved in high-scoring affairs on their travels.
Across all competitions, nine of the Foxes’ past 11 road trips have featured at least three goals, with a particular tendency for late strikes occurring. 10 of their last 12 away days have seen one team or the other net from the 80th minute onwards, with 13 goals over this late time period in total.
Tottenham To Beat Leicester
Leicester continue to go through patches as they’ve often bundled a whole series of wins together under Brendan Rodgers, before suffering a quick succession of defeats.
That could spell trouble having lost at home to Everton on Wednesday, ending a run of victories over Sheffield Utd, AEK Athens and Brighton.
Those are the Foxes’ only victories in eight appearances (W3-D1-L4), and failure to score in defeats against Liverpool, Zorya and the Toffees has to be of concern. In fact, Leicester have failed to hit the net in eight of their past nine defeats now dating back into July.
Erik Lamela and Japhet Tanganga are the only absentees for Spurs, with Gareth Bale expected back having missed the last two league games through illness.
Rodgers can at least welcome back Timothy Castagne and Jonny Evans following injury and suspension respectively, but it’s a tall order to expect Leicester’s rearguard to hold out against the likes of Heung-min Son and Harry Kane.
Tottenham To Beat Leicester At 21/20
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