25 Sept 2019
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Spence v Porter – Something Special?
WHEN two of the best welterweights on the planet collide, it’s nearly always an occasion in the boxing world and Saturday night’s clash between IBF champion Errol Spence Jnr and WBC boss, Shawn Porter, follows that theme.
The two rivals have been conversing in a combative language that harks back to the good old days ahead of their 12-round clash at Staples Center, Los Angeles.
As if shooting respectful nods and winks the way of Messrs Sugar Ray Leonard, Thomas Hearns and Roberto Duran, there has been talk of getting the job done inside the distance, inflicting pain, making dents and statements, and of not being truly content unless their opposite number is not only defeated but devastated. More than simply saying all the right things, they are paying homage to the golden age. They are perhaps setting us up for something special.
Recent Form - Spence
Twenty-nine-year-old Spence, the favourite, has set the tone. He was in a merciless, vicious mood the night he ripped his IBF welterweight title from England’s Kell Brook in May 2017 and hasn’t let up since. He took Brook’s belt and cracked his eye socket in Sheffield, before then chopping down Lamont Peterson and Carlos Ocampo in subsequent defences of the title.
Only Mikey Garcia, in fact, has been able to hear the final bell during Spence’s reign. Undersized and overwhelmed, Garcia was a champion at three different and lower weights yet had no answer to Spence’s size, range and spite when the pair met in March at Arlington’s AT&T Stadium. He made it to the end but couldn’t make it much of a fight.
The bigger man prevailed, which tends to happen when little meets large, but that doesn’t mean size alone got the job done for Spence. Far from it. In addition to being big and strong, he was also poised, measured and focused for every one of the 36 minutes he and Garcia stayed in punching range. His victory was, above all else, emblematic of his growth as a champion.
Recent Form - Porter
For a time, there was nothing Shawn Porter liked more than marauding forward and connecting his head to an opponent’s chest. It was his natural style when turning pro in 2008 and the intensity he showed in adopting this style led to him becoming the IBF welterweight champion in 2013 and then, more recently, the WBC champion.
He won that title a year ago against Danny Garcia, narrowly outpointing him over 12 rounds, before defending it in March against Cuban Yordenis Ugas in an even closer fight. Both times Porter, 30-2-1 (17), elected to show other facets of his game, neglecting the aggressive style of old in favour of operating on the back foot as a counterpuncher. It won the 31-year-old a couple of decisions, but he may have lost some of his audience in the process.
On his record you will find losses to Keith Thurman and Kell Brook, both of whom successfully neutralised Porter’s bouncy, hyperactive style to win decisions. Thurman did it with power shots, or the ever-present threat of them, while Brook did it with footwork, movement and some well-timed stifling.
Spence v Porter Betting Tips
Spence is the favourite for good reason. Unbeaten with the kind of skills that can one day lead him straight into the Hall of Fame, “The Truth” can also boast a two-and-a-half-inch height advantage over Porter, as well as a three-and-a-half inch edge in reach.
However, the underdog is tough and skilled himself and it would be an incredible result if Spence could finish him off in the first half of the fight. Porter has never looked like being stopped, hence why the smart money should be put on Spence to win via decision.
But in order to get a decent return on a Spence triumph, you’ll have to wager a significant sum. Should you be in the market for a more fanciful bet, the odds on Porter – though he is not our pick to win – are inviting. In a year that has seen plenty of upsets and tales of the unexpected, a wager on Porter isn’t a bad bet at all.
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