15 Oct 2020
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BARCELONA, CHELSEA AND PSG ALL TO WIN AT 5/2!
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The last time these two sides met it was Man Utd who produced a stunning second-leg comeback in Paris during the early days under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.
However, Man Utd’s form quickly disintegrated following that result, while PSG have since demonstrated that they belong amongst the European elite with a run to the Champions League final last season.
The Parisians actually lost 1-0 three times on the bounce straddling the new campaign and the old one, first going down to Bayern in the continent’s showpiece event, before then suffering defeats in their opening two Ligue 1 matches this term.
However, it’s worth noting that many of their star players didn’t feature in their domestic defeats, while normal service has since been resumed. They’ve now won five times on the trot, conceding just once across these and triumphing 6-1 and 4-0 over Angers and Nimes respectively in their last two outings.
United may have scored four times at the weekend themselves as they punished Newcastle on the road, though it was a smash and grab effort with three of their goals coming in the closing minutes.
A 6-1 humiliation hosting Spurs prior to the international break has to be of greater concern and in fact, both teams have scored in eight of their last 12 matches in all competitions now as they’ve struggled for clean sheets.
PSG are desperate for success in this tournament and they certainly didn’t struggle for output last season.
The group stages saw them triumph 3-0 and 5-0 at home to Real Madrid and Galatasaray, while over the past two seasons, they’ve scored at least twice in nine of 13 encounters with top sides Liverpool, Napoli, Man Utd, Real Madrid, Dortmund, Atalanta, Leipzig and Bayern.
Only against the latter did they fail to net at all, though with just four clean sheets of their own across these fixtures, United will also fancy their chances of causing some problems too.
One man who will be keen to impress should he be handed the chance is of course Edinson Cavani, with the Uruguayan in line to make his debut against his former club, who he’ll feel dispensed with his services rather early.
However, the 33-year-old hasn’t played a competitive match since March and may have to settle for a place on the bench.
Still, Mason Greenwood has trained with the squad after missing the clash with Newcastle, his replacement Juan Mata enjoyed an excellent game, while Anthony Martial should be fresh having missed that clash through suspension.
PSG -1 Handicap
PSG are one of the main favourites in the outright for the Champions League this term and it’s hard to look past them at the Parc des Princes, even if midfield metronome Marco Verratti is ruled out.
Given this group also features quarter-finalists Leipzig and Turkish champions Istanbul Basaksehir, any slip-ups could prove costly and Thomas Tuchel won’t be resting any of his star men here.
The hosts have won by at least two clear goals in eight of 13 home Champions League games since 2017, and by a minimum of three strikes in seven of these, so appear worth siding with on the Asian Handicap.
Indeed, that includes victories over Barcelona (4-0), Bayern (3-0), Celtic (7-1), Real Madrid (3-0), Galatasaray (5-0) and Dortmund (2-0).
Goal Scored In Minutes 76-90
There could be some value in backing a late goal here too. Aside from both teams possessing options from the bench, late strikes have been a consistent feature for these two sides this term.
10 of PSG’s 16 goals this season have come in the second half, with five of these coming in the final 15 minutes.
Meanwhile, 10 of United’s 15 efforts have come after the opening half, with eight bagged in that same time period too – including seven late goals on their travels alone.
0.5pts: PSG -1 Asian Handicap At 109/100
Goal scored in minutes 76-90 At 5/6
PSG V MAN UNITED ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 19/10/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
