12 Dec 2019
Recent Form
The ‘M23 Derby’ between Palace and Brighton came about back in the 1970’s when both Terry Venables and former teammate Spurs Alan Mullery were tussling with one another as managers of the respective clubs.
40 years later and they’re still going at one another and part of that has to be how close the matches have been down the years, as the Seagulls take the slight edge in their history going W39-D25-L35.
Having gone on a run of four defeats from five winless matches between October and November, Roy Hodgson’s charges have come out the other side of that well with two victories from their last three unbeaten outings.
Indeed, it isn’t surprising that they went on a winless run when you consider they played all of Man City, Arsenal, Leicester, Chelsea and Liverpool in that time, conceding twice in all of them, while they haven’t conceded a goal from their last 275 minutes of football now.
In fact, when facing teams outside of the ‘Big Six’ and this season’s Foxes side, they’ve won five of seven unbeaten outings since the last day of August, including three of four at Selhurst Park and so we’re a little surprised to see them at odds-against for the victory.
Crystal Palace Draw No Bet
Brighton have had an equally tough fixture list that saw them lose three straight matches in November to Man Utd, Leicester and Liverpool, while they’ve since beaten Freddie Ljungberg’s Gunners and held Wolves to a stalemate, so they certainly deserve some respect.
In fact, against similar sides outside the ‘Big Six’ and Leicester, they’ve gone W3-D4-L2 from nine outings this term.
That isn’t quite up to the standard of the Eagles though, while their form on the road is a little concerning too.
They’re just W2-D1-L5 away from the Amex as their only victories came against sides very much in disarray in Watford and Arsenal, so the hosts definitely have the edge.
Mamadou Sakho’s suspension, along with fitness doubts surrounding Patrick Van Aanholt, Jeffrey Schlupp and Joel Ward may make it a slightly harder task for Hodgson, but Gary Cahill and James Tomkins and Martin Kelly look like a solid unit.
Although they lost both meetings with the Seagulls last term, Palace draw no bet appeals at the prices given the respective form of these two sides and the visitors’ woeful run on the road.
Crystal Palace Draw No Bet At 8/11
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