17 Oct 2019
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United have been well below par this season but a trip to Old Trafford is rarely an easy three points and Liverpool will be keen to lay down a marker here.
They’ve already secured victories over the likes of Arsenal, Chelsea and Leicester this term to maintain their 100%-win record, though the Foxes came close to puncturing that record last time out as the Reds required a rather soft 95th-minute penalty to take the spoils.
Sadio Mane hurled himself to the ground and James Milner duly stepped up, but Liverpool’s winning run will have to come to an end at some stage and at the prices, looks worth backing sooner rather than later.
Under 2.5 Goals
Including a Europa League clash in Jurgen Klopp’s first season on Merseyside, the German has only produced a W2-D5-L2 record against the Red Devils as both victories came at Anfield.
He’s drawn three of four winless clashes at Old Trafford, while home or away seven of the nine head-to-heads have seen fewer than three goals.
Klopp’s team may contain some serious firepower, but Mo Salah and Sadio Mane have scored a combined one goal from 11 career appearances against United.
Meanwhile, across all competitions, five of Liverpool’s eight matches away from Anfield this term have featured a maximum of two goals within the 90 minutes, with two of the exceptions against Burnley and Southampton.
United won’t want to leave themselves open to Liverpool’s vicious and lightning counters, so we can certainly see this one following the established pattern in this fixture and going ‘unders’. In fact, across all competitions, nine of Man Utd’s last 10 fixtures have seen fewer than three strikes over 90 minutes, including four 1-1 stalemates.
In the league alone, United have drawn 12 matches since the start of last season, including in this exact fixture, as both teams scored in 10, with each of the past five finishing 1-1.
Manchester United And Liverpool To Draw 1-1
That exact scoreline holds some appeal as United have kept just seven clean sheets from 29 league games under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, with just two from the past 19 following an initial upsurge in results.
Liverpool’s defence may be the best in the division, but they have conceded exactly once in six of their eight games this term.
In addition, they failed to shut out their opponents in the Community Shield against Man City, the UEFA Super Cup versus Chelsea, as well as both of their Champions League matches so far away at Napoli and at home to Salzburg.
Returning Players And Injury Concerns
Liverpool may well have Alisson back between the sticks for this clash, though it remains to be seen whether he shows any sign of rustiness on his return and United’s prospects of securing a result are bolstered by the return from injury of several players.
Paul Pogba has been ruled out, while Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Victor Lindelof and Luke Shaw will almost certainly slot straight back into the side, while Anthony Martial should be fit enough to command a place on the bench.
Although David De Gea has added himself to the list of casualties on Tuesday playing Sweden, it’s fair to say that the Spanish shot stopper hasn’t been at his best over the past 18 months, while Sergio Romero has proven a reliable back-up when called upon.
In fact, since 2014/15, De Gea has been missing from the line-up in league matches on nine occasions, with United keeping eight clean sheets, as Romero started seven of the nine fixtures.
The Draw
While last term United suffered heavily at the back, it’s been their output that has primarily let them down in the new campaign, failing to score enough goals against the weaker sides.
Their best performances this season have come when facing the better teams, beating Chelsea and Leicester and drawing with Arsenal, so the away win isn’t the foregone conclusion it’s largely been presented as.
Liverpool have only won at Old Trafford once this decade, even failing to do so in this fixture last season when United were injury-ravaged at the time, while Klopp’s side have only won two of 11 league encounters with ‘Big Six’ rivals on their travels since 2017/18. With that in mind, the draw appears a healthy price.
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