24 Oct 2019
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After a scare early on in Man City’s Champions League tie with Atalanta, order was eventually restored as they ran out 5-1 winners.
Their attention now needs to turn to domestic action with them still trailing league leaders Liverpool by six points, while they’ll know that Jurgen Klopp’s men could have a potential banana skin fixture when hosting Spurs this Sunday.
Aston Villa, having won just one of their opening seven matches, have seen an upturn in their results as they downed both Norwich and Brighton in successive matches to climb six places in the table to 12th.
The most spectacular of them was their 5-1 hammering of the Canaries at Carrow Road in their last away game, while they also saw off the Seagulls 3-1 in their trip prior to that in the League Cup, meaning they’ve now won back-to-back outings on the road.
The only slight worry for the Clarets though is that their three maximum pointers in the league this term have all come against current bottom-six sides, who if we exclude has seen them lose four of their five winless outings, with the only ‘Big Six’ sides they faced in that time being north London clubs Spurs and Arsenal, both of which saw them come away pointless having taken the early lead.
However, it should be noted that all but one of their four defeats this term have come by single goal margins, whilst the other was following two late strikes from Harry Kane in the final four minutes to make it 3-1.
Aston Villa +3 Handicap
The Citizens lost their last league fixture at the Etihad against Wolves, but they’ve still won 36 of their 42 matches here since the start of 2017/18.
Indeed, they may have put eight goals past Watford, but the Hornets haven’t been at the races this year, while their 4-0 victory over Brighton is hardly going to worry Dean Smith, seeing as his charges have beaten them twice within the last month.
In fact, Man City have only won by more than two goals in 19 of their 61 matches on home turf since Pep Guardiola arrived for the start of the 2016/17 season and going off the visitors’ recent performances, they should at least make a game of this.
Manchester City 3-1 Correct Score
A market we do like the look of is the correct score. The most frequent result that City have had over the last 12 months has been the 3-1 scoreline, with that occurring in five of their last 14 victories at Etihad dating back to November last year.
In fact, half their last six victories here against promoted outfits have finished with exactly that score, as they netted precisely three in five, therefore we’ll have a little flutter on it finishing that way.
Not to mention, any worry that Villa can’t find the back of the net should be put to the side seeing as only three teams have plundered more goals than them this term, while the hosts will still be without key centre back Aymeric Laporte and defensive midfielder and makeshift centre back Rodri pulled up with a hamstring complaint on Tuesday night.
Aston Villa +3 Handicap At 21/20
0.5 Pts: Man City Correct Score 3-1 At 11/1
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