25 Oct 2019
LIVERPOOL, ARSENAL AND MAN UNITED ALL TO WIN AT 7/2 HERE!
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After respective 1-1 draws at the weekend to Man Utd and Watford, both these sides got back to winning ways in emphatic style. Spurs dispatched of Red Star Belgrade 5-0 on home soil, while the Reds shone against a tricky Genk outfit, who weren’t short on chances, and ran out eventual 4-1 winners thanks to a spectacular brace from Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, so confidence should be rife in both camps.
That being said, neither side had convinced in the games preceding. Liverpool had scraped victories over Chelsea, Sheffield United and Leicester, and could be considered lucky to do so in the latter two, while a 1-1 draw against an underperforming Man United side shows there are some frailties in Jurgen Klopp’s ranks that the visitors will be hoping to expose.
Liverpool To Win
However, Spurs aren’t out the doghouse just yet. While their Tuesday night victory was convincing, they had only won five of their last 21 matches in all competitions dating back to April heading into the game. They haven’t managed to record back-to-back victories since before that poor run either, and Anfield may not be the place to change that.
Liverpool have made their home something of a fortress and are now on a stretch 42 unbeaten league games at Anfield, having only tasted bitter defeat against West Brom and Chelsea in the FA Cup and League Cup respectively in that time, and it would be shocking to see that run come to an end against this Spurs side.
Indeed, Mauricio Pochettino’s charges have lost eight of 10 winless matches on the road as pressure begins to mount on the manager, so we’re inclined to back the favourites in this one at a slightly longer price than usual.
Over 3.5 Goals
Interestingly, with the Reds having the best defensive record in the league, they have conceded in each of their five games here in all competitions, even surrendering three to Red Bull Salzburg in the Champions League.
With Spurs scoring five midweek, and Harry Kane never spending too long out of the goals, we can see the same result happening again for a fifth successive home game, though there’s little value to be had in the market, so it’s the over/under goals that appeals.
The hosts have seen a total of 23 goals in those five such games, at an average of 4.6 goals per game. Spurs meanwhile, are seeing an average of 3.6 gpg on the road this year when excluding their 0-0 League Cup clash with Colchester when fielding a weakened side.
With major goal threats at each end, and both sides conceding in every one of their respective home/away league games so far this year, the Over 3.5 Goals market looks good value.
In fact, the four league meetings between the two in the last two years have seen a total of 15 goals and it looks as if we’re in for a corker.
While the goalscorer market is potentially opened up, there seems to be little gained by backing one in this game.
Indeed, Mohamed Salah looks incredibly short at odds on considering he’s registered just the once in his last five Premier League appearances, Harry Kane has scored in just two of his last six encounters with Liverpool, and with Spurs still struggling domestically he seems a tad short too.
Sadio Mane remains the best bet with three goals in his last two home league games, but his record of a meagre two goals in 10 matches against Spurs leaves us a little stunned how he’s only a little over evens.
Liverpool HT/FT
Instead, a different market tantalises the taste buds, with Liverpool covering the HT/FT result in a whopping 10 of the last 11 home fixtures.
The Lilywhites have failed to register in the first half in seven of their last 11 away games, and with the hosts plundering in the first 45 minutes in 11 of their last 12 at home, we like the look of them at both the break and full time whistle.
Liverpool/Liverpool HT/FT At 6/5
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