28 Nov 2019
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Recent Form
The Reds were held to a 1-1 draw hosting out of form Italian outfit Napoli midweek, putting in a somewhat lacklustre performance as they lacked that cutting edge they’ve possessed over the past couple of seasons.
Brighton, however, will pose a very different type of challenge and we’d fully expect Jurgen Klopp’s charges to be back to their clinical best as they return to domestic action.
Indeed, The Merseyside club have won 36 of 46 unbeaten outings on home turf dating back to the tail end of the 2016/17 season, and we just can’t envisage the Seagulls ending that impeccable run this weekend.
Graham Potter’s men have lost four of their five matches against the ‘Big Six’ and Leicester this season, losing by at least two clear goals in each of those defeats to Man Utd, Chelsea, Leicester and Man City, while their only victory came on home soil against a dire Spurs outfit.
Both Teams To Score
Despite having the best defensive home record in the league last year, conceding on just the 10 occasions, Liverpool are yet to keep a clean sheet at Anfield in the current campaign and in the absence of midfield enforcer Fabinho, we can see Brighton registering.
The 26-year-old Brazilian has proven to be an integral cog in the centre of the park, while alternatives Jordan Henderson, James Milner and Gigi Wijnaldum don’t possess the defensive attributes that he does.
Players such as Neal Maupay and Leo Trossard hold some credibility going forward, while 19-year-old Irish forward Aaron Connelly could also return to provide problems.
The Seagulls have managed to plunder 10 strikes over their last six outings in the league, so are more than capable of breaking down a Liverpool backline that is still missing Joel Matip and the both teams to score market looks extremely appealing at odds-against.
Brighton +2 Asian Handicap
The hosts haven’t been as destructive this season as they were last, often relying on late goals to see off their opponents and it wouldn’t be surprising to see a similar outcome here. With this in mind, the Asian Handicap appeals.
Only twice this season have the title contenders won by more than a two-goal margin, with both of those coming in the first four weeks of the season back in August.
Given seven of their 12 wins so far have been decided by one, the +2.0 margin provides a good cushion should the hosts hit their stride.
Both Teams To Score (Yes) At 21/20
Brighton +2 Asian Handicap At 81/100
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