9 Mar 2020
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Leipzig have failed to win either of their last two outings as they had to settle for draws with top-half Bundesliga sides Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg.
However, that doesn’t exactly taint their recent unbeaten run of three victories from their last six outings dating back to a stalemate at the Allianz Arena against Bayern a month ago.
Spurs can’t quite boast a record anywhere near that an in fact, they’ve gone on a woeful run of three defeats from five winless outings since the opening leg defeat at their home stadium.
That record is made even worse when considering two of those games came against Norwich in the FA Cup, where they went out on penalties, as well as a Burnley outfit who certainly aren’t up to the level of this German side.
To make matters worse, the Lilywhites are a woeful W4-D10-L7 on the road this term, with three of those victories coming over Red Star Belgrade and Premier League relegation battlers West Ham and Aston Villa.
It should be noted though, that five of their defeats came by single-goal margins, while they do have a knack of seeing some interesting games on their travels, as 16 of those trips saw both sides get onto the scoreboard.
Nonetheless, the visitors will be without both their star strikers Son Heung-min and Harry Kane.
Indeed, where neither of them have played more than a single half, Tottenham are W3-D6-L7 over 90 minutes in all competitions since the start of last season, as two of those victories came against already relegated outfits Huddersfield and Fulham domestically last season, while the other was against championship side Middlesbrough in the FA Cup in January and so we just can’t see them coming out on top.
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Leipzig And Spurs To Draw
The hosts’ have an impressive seven wins from their last 11 unbeaten outings at the Red Bull Arena dating back to late October, as both sides scored in nine, including all four stalemates.
However, they seem to pick up their points against the weaker teams domestically, going W11-D0-L1 from 12 encounters with bottom-half sides, while this is just W3-D8-L2 against the top half.
Although teams that have won 1-0 on the road in the first legs of Champions League knockouts are a positive W4-D1-L2 back at home since 2010/11, we’d be conscious of the fact that one of the anomalies was Spurs themselves last term against Ajax, though it would be a tough ask to escape another precarious situation.
Both Teams To Score
The concern for the hosts we would have is they’re just W2-D2-L2 at this stadium in Europe since the start of last season from the group stages onwards, with both sides scoring in four, while the two defeats came against the best sides they faced over that period in Salzburg and Lyon.
With that in mind, Leipzig look plenty short at the minute and we’d rather back the draw at the prices.
That’s especially the case given the Lilywhites have only lost on the road in Europe three times from 13 outings since 2017/18, with stalemates occurring on five occasions, while with both teams scoring in 10 of these the banker bet in this one looks to be in the game to open up.
Both Teams To Score (Yes) at 4/5
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