21 May 2021
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Chelsea enacted their revenge on Leicester after their 1-0 defeat in the FA Cup final but coming up trumps in the league and boosting their hopes for top four. The Foxes were never quite up with the pace of the game, and that defeat now leaves them in danger of bottling top four for the second successive season.
Leicester’s shortcoming this season have largely been at home, though the return of fans will likely boost their chances here as it did with Chelsea in their last match on Tuesday.
That said, up against the current top-11 in the table, Leicester have now gone W2-D1-L6 on home soil which certainly plays into Spurs’ hands, though it’s difficult to say how seriously to take that record with the obvious added impetus of home support.
The head-to-head record may be more telling in that regard, with Leicester taking the most recent meeting here 2-1 after falling a goal behind, with that the only meeting at the King Power between these two sides since Brendan Rogers took the reins, and if anything these sides have gone in opposite directions since that clash.
Leicester To Win And Over 3.5 Goals
Liverpool’s victory over Burnley has left fourth place out of the Foxes’ hands and they’ll know that realistically anything other than three points will see them competing for the Europa League for the second successive season.
There’s little to suggest they won’t manage that though, with Spurs’ last home game of the season seeing them succumb to a 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa.
That defeat means the London side have gone just W3-D2-L3 across their last eight league games which has ultimately left them short of a top four push this season, though they’ll still be hoping for Europa League football next year.
Three wins from five isn’t a poor record for Ryan Mason at Spurs, though considering they haven’t played a side above 10th in the league in those five games, it’s likely not enough for Mason to keep his position, and it would be a surprise if they were to get themselves maximum points here.
What we could expect here, however, is goals. Spurs have seen an average of 3.5 goals per game since the beginning of April, which is only slightly more than Leicester’s 3.38 in the same eight game time frame.
What’s more, while over the last five seasons there have seen over 3.5 goals per game in just 29.95% of games from game week 1-37, that increases massively to 46% when only considering the final game of the season for each side, so for what is likely to be a hard-fought game, a small stake on the Leicester and Over 3.5 goals bet provides good value.
0.5 pts Leicester To Win And Over 3.5 Goals At 10/3
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