28 Aug 2019
LEGANES V ATLETICO MADRID ODDS HERE!
Opening Win And Another Clean Sheet
Atletico overcame a gutsy Getafe side as Alvaro Morata’s goal was enough to take the three points and extend their clean sheet record against them to 16 consecutive games in all competitions, dating back to 2011.
Leganes, on the other hand, went down at home to newly promoted Osasuna when new signing ‘Chimy’ Avila found the net with a long-range effort to get his campaign off to a flyer, although Leganes will consider themselves unlucky to have an effort ruled out by VAR.
Atletico To Win To Nil
Atletico are favourites again for the three points in this Madrid derby, and with their record it’s easy to see why. They have now won 13 of their last 14 unbeaten matches against teams in the bottom half, and incredibly keeping clean sheets in 12 of those fixtures.
Alvaro Morata’s header from a Kieran Trippier cross last weekend is extremely positive for Diego Simeone as he looks to add firepower down the wings, but there’s a reason why Los Rojiblancos are not as strong favourites with the bookies as some may think.
Atleti’s record against bottom-half sides is impeccable. However, their home record serves to flatter this statistic and in truth, away from home against this calibre of opposition, they conceded nine goals in ten games last season, including one in their 1-1 draw in this exact fixture, and only managed to win half of these games.
Leganes were surprisingly unbeaten at home against the eventual top six last season, possessing a W1-D5 record, with all five of their draws ending 1-1 and their sole victory coming against Barcelona 2-1.
Given Diego Costa is a doubt for the match and attacking full-back Renan Lodi picked up a red card in their last outing, Atletico are slightly lacking. The home crowd may fancy their chances of getting something here and at the prices, they look good value.
1-1 Correct Score
Noticeably, both these sides look extremely competent at the back. The visitors conceded the least amount of goals in the league last season, as per usual, while Leganes conceded the least of any of the teams outside the top five. What’s more, Mauricio Pellegrino’s men had the lowest average goals per game in the league last year, while Atleti had the fourth lowest.
All things considered, this game doesn’t have goals in it. The Under 2.5 Goals market looks too short, but though a 1-1 draw is our main recommendation for this clash, for those who can’t look past the away victory an interesting alternative is the win to nil, which has become such a staple of the Simeone era.
0.5pt Atletico Madrid Win To Nil At 7/5
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