5 Mar 2021
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It’s likely to be mid table mediocrity for Leeds this season, which in their first term back in the Premier League will certainly be classed as a success, especially with fellow promoted sides West Brom and Fulham deep in a relegation battle.
While it is often deemed ‘easier’ to face sides with nothing to play for, that would be a very risky mentality coming up against a Marcelo Bielsa side, who always demands the maximum from is players, so this won’t be an easy game for the blues.
Thomas Tuchel’s side took a couple of big steps in their race for top four having beaten both Merseyside clubs in their most recent outings, though you can guarantee there’ll be a few more twists and turns in that race before the season is out.
Chelsea To Beat Leeds
It’s now 11 games unbeaten for Chelsea under current management and, if anything, they look to be gathering momentum.
Wins to nil over Liverpool, Everton, Atletico Madrid, and Spurs have been the standout achievements of the German’s short tenure so far, and on form it’s hard to envisage them slipping up here.
Leeds have a result in them, that much is sure. They’ve proven they can take the game to anyone with wins over Everton, Leicester and Aston Villa this year, as well as stalemates with Man City and Arsenal, though they’re still yet to beat a current top-12 side on home soil, and that will be a pressing issue for the Yorkshire side.
Chelsea -1 handicap (Draw)
There’s also great disparity between their points gathered against the top teams and the bottom, having picked up a huge 2.4 points per game against the bottom eight, and just 0.6 against sides above that bracket, halving to just 0.3 at Elland road.
We therefore can’t get behind them to get a result from this Chelsea side and at the prices, the 1x2 market looks a good bet for the away win.
However, five of Leeds’ six defeats at home this season have come by just a single strike as they’ve remained competitive until the last, with the exception coming against Leicester who scored two goals in the final 15 minutes to put the game out of reach.
Chelsea haven’t exactly been ones to muster up late strikes though, with Marcos Alonso’s 84th minute strike against Burnley back in January the only such goal from Tuchel’s 11 games in charge across all competitions, and therefore the winning margin is certainly worth consideration here.
Chelsea -1 handicap (Draw) At 13/5
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 11/03/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
