18 Nov 2019
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Recent Form
Mick McCarthy’s side require three points from this final group game to qualify above tonight’s opponents due to their superior head-to-head record against the Danes, should they be victorious.
If they fail to do so they’ll crash out of the group stages here, but will be guaranteed a lifeline via the play-off route early next year if that were to be the case, though they’ll prefer to not have that high pressure encounter and do it the more straightforward way at the Aviva Stadium tonight.
These two sides have met five times over the past two years, with the Irish winless over the course but they have managed to draw four of them so they’re by no means incapable of picking up a victory here, though it will be a challenge.
Indeed, the visitors are unbeaten in their last 14 games, while they’ve only lost one of their last 34 dating back to November 2016, including games against the likes of Germany, Poland, Chile, Sweden, Mexico, Peru, France, Sweden, Chile, Croatia and Switzerland (twice).
In fact, that sole defeat came when fielding a complete second-string side against Slovakia and so we can probably forgive them for that trip.
Inform Brighton youngster Aaron Connolly and captain Seamus Coleman out with injury and suspension respectively, the Irish will definitely be a weakened outfit, though they still boast a respectable record when Coleman’s been missing.
With their skipper in the side, the Green Army are W7-D7-L4 since the beginning of the World Cup Qualifiers back in May 2016, while their W5-D5-L5 in the 15 games without him in that time, and with the experienced head of Shane Duffy leading the backline, Premier League defender Matt Doherty coming in to replace the Everton right back, and Sheffield United striker David McGoldrick back from injury, the hosts are capable of having a good go at this.
Half Time Score 0-0
With everything that is at stake here for both sides, and with their previous head-to-head record, this really could swing either way so we’re happy to avoid the outright at too great of a risk at the prices, while we’ll avoid the handicap too as there’s little value to be gained in this area.
Instead it’s the goals markets that catches the eye here. With Ireland seeing a maximum of two goals in each of their last 10 competitive internationals, including all seven since McCarthy took the reins, it’s no surprise to see that option come at heavy odds-on.
However, seven of these 10 have seen a goalless first half and with so much on the line here, some early nerves would be understandable as neither side will want to give, so the same first half outcome looks a good bet at odds-against.
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