24 Dec 2019
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Recent Form
The Toffees played out a dire 0-0 draw hosting Arsenal at the weekend, with respective new managers Carlo Ancelotti and Mikel Arteta watching on from the stands.
The Italian can’t have been impressed by the performance, though with five points from Chelsea, Man Utd and Arsenal, Duncan Ferguson can be proud of his spell at the helm, earning him a spot on Ancelotti’s backroom staff.
Burnley have had an indifferent season, as they struggle against some of the bigger clubs but seem to be picking up points with ease against those lower in the table.
Indeed, they’ve won six of seven unbeaten matches against the current bottom seven opposition, with all six victories coming to nil.
Under 2.5 Goals
However, under new management, Everton have been a different side and are regarded to be in a false position as they look to climb the table with a manager bounce, while five of the Clarets’ seven victories this season have come at Turf Moor.
To further that, the Merseyside club have picked up 74% of their points this season at Goodison Park and the hosts look good for the win, though at such a short price we’ll avoid the outright on its own.
Everton To Win And Under 3.5 Goals
Ancelotti has been very adaptable with his tactics over his career, and while his Napoli team last year scored a lot of goals and enjoyed a lot of possession, it may take time on Merseyside to get his message across, and they’ll be hard pushed to break down a very organised Burnley outfit.
With that in mind, the ‘Under 2.5 market’ appeals at the longer price, while coupling markets and using the buffer that the Under 3.5 market gives looks another good option.
Everton & Under 3.5 Goals At 11/8
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