1 Jun 2021
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Euro 2021 Key Stats
Since 1996 two of the six Championships have had a tie for the top scorer, including six players finishing level in 2012 (11 top or joint-top scorers in this time)
The top scorer netted six times in 2016, five times in 1996, 2000 and 2004 but David Villa was top with four goals in 2008 and no one scored more than three times four years ago
Nine of the 12 top scorers played for teams that at least reached the semi-finals
10/12 top scorers found the net at least twice in the group stages with seven scoring three or more times
Euro 2021 Golden Boot Favourites
Harry Kane 6/1
Harry Kane (England, 6/1) is probably the deserved favourite having won the 2018 World Cup top scorer award. He picked up his third Premier League golden boot for his 23 goals this season and also picked up the playmaker of the season award to go with it, contributing 14 assists.
He’ll be in charge of the penalties and with the creativity of Champions League winner Mason Mount, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish and Jadon Sancho to name a few, he’ll be amongst the goals leading England’s line.
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Romelu Lukaku 7/1
Romelu Lukaku (Belgium, 7/1) chances nearly took a huge blow when Kevin De Bruyne went down injured in the Champions League final, but he looks likely to at least make their second game against Denmark. Nonetheless, Lukaku totted up 24 goals in Serie A this season with a conversion rate of 31% bettering his 23 he managed for Inter in 2019/20.
He finished joint second at the most recent World Cup with four goals and now back to his best form could be a great shout.
Kylian Mbappe 9/1
Kylian Mbappe (France, 9/1) picked up the Ligue 1 top scorer for the third straight time this season with 27 goals, netting a goal every 88 minutes, while he has a total of 42 from his 46 outings in all competitions for his club.
He showed his quality in Russia back in 2018 when scoring four goals, including one in the final to crown France as champions.
His price is larger than expected due to the difficulty of France’s group as both Portugal and Germany look to be quality outfits, but should they come through that he has every chance of adding this accolade to his honours.
Cristiano Ronaldo 14/1
Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal, 14/1) earned the Capocannoniere for the first time this season with 29 goals, while a total 35 goals this term in all tournaments may still be down on his Real Madrid days, but he’ll no doubt be a leading player for Portugal.
At 36, he’s not getting any younger, but he’s come joint second top scorer in his last two major international tournaments, and should Portugal make it out the group he has every chance.
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Karim Benzema 16/1
Karim Benzema (France, 16/1) is back in the squad for the first time following a six-year hiatus. The Real Madrid striker netted over 20 La Liga goals for the third straight season and looks to be flourishing off Cristiano Ronaldo’s exit.
The only question remains as to how Didier Deschamps lines his team up with as many as five centre forwards in the squad, but with Antoine Griezmann likely to play as a false nine and Mbappe able to play out wide or up top with him, it could present an excellent opportunity for Benzema should he get the nod over both Olivier Giroud and Ben Yedder.
Memphis Depay 16/1
Memphis Depay (Netherlands, 16/1) is the obvious candidate for the Dutch team. The Lyon forward is being linked with a move the Catalan giants for this summer and after scoring 20 goals in Ligue 1 this term, only trailing Mbappe, you can see why.
He’s in form for his country too, netting six goals and providing two assists from his last six outings, while he finished the season domestically with seven goals and three assists from his final eight games across all competitions. The Netherlands’ hopes did take a serious blow when Virgil van Dijk announced his absence for the Euros though.
Ciro Immobile 22/1
Ciro Immobile (Italy, 22/1) is a three-time Capocannoniere winner and hit 20 or more goals for the fourth time in five seasons this campaign, while his five goals from as many appearances in the Champions League for Lazio shows his quality on the big stage.
Moreover, six goals from his final eight games in Serie A shows good form heading into the summer, not to mention he’s netted in both his last two starts for Italy.
Robert Lewandowski 25/1
Robert Lewandowski (Poland, 25/1) only has one factor holding him back and that’s the chances of Poland going deep in this tournament. The Bayern striker broke Gerd Muller’s 49-year-old Bundesliga record this season with his 41 goals in just a mere 29 matches this term.
Three goals already from his two World Cup qualifiers for Poland says all you need to know about where their goals are going to come from, and a more favourable draw could play into his hands.
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Antoine Griezman 25/1
Antoine Griezman (France, 25/1) won this accolade four years ago but his form domestically was slightly different back then. Indeed, he went into that tournament having scored 22 goals for Atletico while this time around he’s managed just 13 league goals from 36 appearances.
He does tend to get played out of position for the Catalan giants though and his output for Les Bleus continues to be fruitful, having a hand in three of their four goals in the most recent World Cup qualifiers.
Moreover, he proved his goal scoring threat in their recent friendly against Wales when scoring from outside the box.
Alvaro Morata 25/1
Alvaro Morata (Spain, 25/1) came close to becoming the top scorer four years ago in France with his three goals. The Spaniard accumulated just 11 goals in Serie A this term but someone tends to suffer in the goalscoring department when Ronaldo is your strike partner.
He’ll have competition from Gerard Moreno for the number 10 spot which brings further doubt into his chances of being top scorer, but should he start he’ll likely get a goal or two.
Timo Werner 25/1
Timo Werner (Germany, 25/1) played a crucial role in helping Chelsea lift the Champions league trophy but he’s built a reputation for choking in front of goal. He averaged a goal every 433 minutes in the Premier League this term and until he eradicates that mental block, he’s probably one to avoid for this tournament.
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Euro 2021 Golden Boot Outsiders
Serge Gnabry 22/1
Serge Gnabry (Germany, 22/1) has 10 goals from his 27 Bundesliga appearances this term and while he had nine Champions League goals last season he failed to get a European goal this time around.
The key factor for him is his 15 goals in 20 starts for his country, but having netted only twice in eight matches since the start 2020 for Die Mannschaft, we’d have hope his price was a little longer.
Ferran Torres 33/1
Ferran Torres (Spain, 33/1) started the season in exceptional form for Man City in Europe. He netted four goals from his six matches and ended the tournament as their joint-top scorer, while seven goals in 15 starts in the Premier League shouldn’t be overlooked.
In fact, for club and country in all tournaments he now has seven goals in as many starts, while for his country alone dating back to mid-November, he has five goals in four games including a hattrick against Germany, and the youngster could well be their biggest goal threat.
Federico Chiesa 150/1
Federico Chiesa (Italy, 150) is somewhat of a dark horse to win top scorer. A mere eight goals in Serie A is by no means outstanding, but the Juventus winger did net four goals in eight Champions League outings.
His price is far too high for the goal threat he poses and although he has just one goal in 24 appearances for his country, having proven he can do it on the biggest stage in Europe while their group looks very winnable given how impressive Roberto Mancini has made his squad.
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Euro 2021 Golden Boot Betting Tips
It’s difficult to see why Greizmann’s price has drifted out quite so much considering the recent form his showed for his country.
Indeed, goals in the group stage can be vital and their group doesn’t exactly tend to that angle in the toughest of the competition, but the striker proved that isn’t the be all and end all at Euro 2016 given the introduction of the extra knockout match.
Couple that with his four goals in Russia in 2018 and he has been the most prolific European striker on the international major tournament stage over the last five years and should come good for the tournament favourites.
Federico Chiesa looks an exciting outside bet for us. He’s started just once for Italy since he terrorised the Porto defence back in February, and should he take that goalscoring form to the Euros, he could cash in against their Group A opponents.
Our final selection is based on the draw and therefore a player looking to get ahead of the rest of the pack before the knockouts.
With that in mind, we very much like Belgium’s chances of going deep into this tournament. The obvious selection therefore is Inter’s Romelu Lukaku to pick up some early goals against the likes of Finland, Denmark and Russia before we reach the knockouts.
Antoine Griezmann EW @ 25/1 (4 places, 1/4 odds)
Romelu Lukaku EW @ 7/1 (4 places, 1/4 odds)
0.25Pts : Federico Chiesa EW @ 150/1 (4 places, 1/4 odds)
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 04/06/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
