28 May 2021
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ENGLAND TO WIN AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE AT 3/1!
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Gareth Southgate has some big decisions to make at the time of writing as he looks to narrow his squad down from 33 to 26, and this will be the first opportunity for him to test out some of the players that he’s put his faith in.
Austria are no pushover, though, with Marcel Sabitzer, David Alaba and the towering Sasa Kalajdzic providing a strong spine.
However, they’re yet to be tested by a team of England’s quality of late, with only three of their last 23 matches going back to the end of 2018 coming against sides ranked higher than them in the world, in which they went D1-L2 against Poland (twice) and Denmark, without scoring a single goal across those meetings so it’s difficult to see a way they’re going to outscore their hosts here.
England have an array of attacking talent so it’s going to be interesting to see who Southgate goes for in this game, but regardless of that it’s certainly going to be a strong 11.
The Three Lions have now won four on the bounce, though aside from a game against Poland that run was pretty straightforward, easing past Iceland, Albania and San Marino.
However, they have still been strong up against more competitive sides, going W6-D4-L3 over 90 minutes against sides currently in the top 25 in the world since the World Cup, with two of those defeats coming against Belgium and Spain, both of whom are a grade above the Austrians.
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Under 2.5 Goals
Five of the most recent seven of those games have seen under 2.5 goals land, with an average of just 1.57 goals per game across those outings, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see that outcome land again here.
England have always been impressive in the build up to major tournaments, and are yet to lose a pre-tournament friendly this century from their 23 such matches, and have won 15 of the last 17 despite facing the likes of Portugal, Belgium and Mexico in that run.
It’s imperative that the hosts get this campaign off to a winning start, though with uncertainty surrounding the best 11 there may just be one or two teething issues, leaving the ‘Unders’ the best-looking bet here.
This will be the fifth meeting between the two nations, with Austria still looking for their first win and the most recent two (2005 & 2007) finishing 1-0 to England. Two of Austria’s three recent matches against sides ranked higher than them have finished with just one goal or not at all, with the exception coming as a slight anomaly when they got overrun by Denmark in their most recent meeting, and with player hesitant about going all out and risking injury before the tournament, an ‘Unders’ bet looks solid.
ENGLAND V AUSTRIA ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 01/06/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
