3 Dec 2019
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Another defeat for Chelsea means they’ve now won just one of their last five outings, although having faced Ajax, Man City, Valencia, West Ham and Palace in that time it’s hardly been the easiest run of fixtures.
Meanwhile, Aston Villa managed to avoid defeat at Old Trafford for the first time since 2009 with a 2-2 draw, which takes them to 15th in the table.
Villa have played all three of the underperforming ‘Big Six’ sides so far on the road in Spurs, Arsenal and Man Utd. Although they’ve come away with just a solitary point, they did still score five goals across those games.
It isn’t perhaps surprising when you have Jack Grealish putting in performances like he did last week, as only five teams have bettered their output of 21 goals this term.
In fact, only once since late September have they failed to score over 90 minutes across all competitions, a run of 11 games as that sole blank came at the Etihad, which can be excused.
The Blues have already faced the other two promoted outfits as a total of nine goals were scored across them, so we’d be surprised to see this being a low-scoring affair given the attacking threats both sides possess.
However, recent league results at Stamford Bridge may suggest otherwise as they’ve won three of their last four outings here, conceding just the single strike as all of them saw fewer than three goals.
The weekend was the first time they’d drawn a blank themselves at the Bridge, but without star striker Tammy Abraham – who could be fit to return for this one – it’s understandable.
Both Teams To Score
A slight concern for Frank Lampard will be the performance of his team on home turf, with the Blues just W4-D3-L4 in all competitions from 11 fixtures this term.
Moreover, those victories were achieved against League Two outfit Grimsby in cup action, as well as Brighton, Newcastle and Palace in the top flight.
They’ve conceded as many as seven goals across the last four of their home games, so we at least fancy Villa to put something up on the scoreboard.
Aston Villa +1.5 Asian Handicap
We also fancy taking on Chelsea in one way or another given their current price is too short for us to get behind, especially as only twice from their seven home league outings have they won by more than a single strike.
By contrast, Dean Smith’s men have only lost by more than a solitary goal once in 16 matches since going down 3-1 to Spurs on the opening day of the season to a late Harry Kane brace.
That came away at the Etihad against Man City, and given the likes of Arsenal, Wolves (twice), Man Utd and Liverpool have all failed to inflict heavier defeats on them, the visitors appear an astute pick to keep to within at least one goal of their hosts.
Both Teams To Score (Yes) At 3/4
Aston Villa +1.5 Asian Handicap At 107/100
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