11 Dec 2019
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Chelsea have made it into the knockout phase of the Champions League following their 2-1 win against Lille last time out and will want to take the momentum of that victory into this next fixture.
By contrast, their visitors Bournemouth haven’t had a lot to cheer about, most recently being put to the sword 3-0 by Liverpool at the Vitality Stadium, in which they were already two goals down at the break.
The Blues have been good at dispatching the weaker bottom-half outfits under both Maurizio Sarri and Frank Lampard, winning 24 of their 29 such outings since the start of last season and so it isn’t surprising to see them priced up as fairly short favourites.
In fact, the Cherries are on a woeful run of five straight defeats, while they have just one victory from their 10 outings since late September and so it’ll be a serious effort from them to come away with anything from this one.
To further Bournemouth’s misery they’ll have to face Lampard’s men without Callum Wilson. In the 76 games the striker has been absent from the starting team since signing for the club in the summer of 2014, they’ve scored 36% fewer goals compared to when he has been involved from the first whistle, while interestingly they’ve lost to nil in eight of the last 12 without him.
Not to mention, Nathan Ake will miss his first game for nearly two years and that surely has to affect the balance of the side, especially as they’re also without fellow defenders Adam Smith, Charlie Daniels and Steve Cook.
Furthermore, Joshua King remains a doubt too and Eddie Howe’s men have lost seven of their last eight winless games without him starting.
Chelsea To Win To Nil
By contrast, Antonio Rudiger has returned to action and so this has got a win to nil written all over it. Indeed, Chelsea have conceded 33% more strikes in his absence since signing for the club and he’ll no doubt be the rock at the back they’ve been wating for.
Finally, the Cherries have lost all 10 trips to the ‘Big Six’ and Leicester since the start of last season and we don’t see this being any different.
In fact, the aggregate score across those games was a miserly 31-6 and the win to nil is certainly a solid bet at the prices in this one, especially when considering only the Foxes have conceded fewer goals on home turf this season than the Blues.
2pts: Chelsea Win To Nil At 11/10
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