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Recent Form
Both sides will be unhappy with their respective results at the weekend, with the hosts here having gone down 2-0 to Crystal Palace at Turf Moor, while Pep Guardiola’s men were held to a 2-2 draw against a plucky Magpies outfit, though history tells us Burnley should fear the worst.
Man City To Win 3-1
Indeed, Man City have won seven of eight unbeaten matches across all competitions against the Clarets since the Spaniard took the reins, while of the last 17 games in which the Champions have dropped points in the league, they’ve managed to bounce right back with a win in 16 of the following fixtures, while in 13 they took the points by at least two clear goals, so Sean Dyche’s side will have to be at the races to stop the visitors on Tuesday.
Astonishingly, eight of these 13 games finished by an exact score of 3-1, which included wins over the like of Brighton, Bournemouth, Everton, Newcastle, Watford and Southampton, all of whom could be considered of Burnley’s calibre, so the correct score holds some value for a little flutter.
Both Teams To Score
What’s more, the hosts’ record against the ‘Big Six’ plus this season’s Leicester side doesn’t make for pretty reading, as they’re currently W1-D2-L13 since the start of last season, losing all four this term while their only ‘positive’ results came against Chelsea, Spurs and Man Utd, who weren’t exactly at City’s level last season, let alone this campaign.
However, they have managed 14 goals over their last 11 such games, scoring in nine of them and they look good value to get on the board here considering the victors’ resolute defending of last season has seemed to have tailed off slightly, not least because of the injury sustained by Aymeric Laporte.
The Citizens concede an average of one goal per game without the 25-year-old and have conceded in each of their last seven games now in all competitions, so both teams to score at ‘evens’ is a healthy price.
Kevin De Bruyne To Score Anytime
With goals on the cards here, the goalscorer market opens up though without Sergio Aguero up top, Guardiola’s firepower is depleted somewhat, even if Gabriel Jesus is no slouch.
Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes offer up some interesting value, especially considering the former has six goals in his last seven appearances, though with him yet to break his duck against City we’re reluctant to get behind him, while the latter has scored just one from eight league outings against them.
Belgian international Kevin De Bruyne has been the star man for the Sky Blues this year, leading the assist table, while he’s also popped up with a few goals of his own recently scoring four from as many recent appearances for club and country, so we’re happy to go with the 28-year-old here.
Kevin De Bruyne To Score Anytime At 9/4
0.5 pts: Correct Score: 3-1 Man City At 10/1
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