22 Apr 2021
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A draw with Man Utd saw Leeds extend their unbeaten run to six games now. That comes after drawing with Liverpool at Elland Road the weekend before, and they’ve finally managed to put together some consistency in their performances.
Brighton will know how important some sort of result will be in this encounter with them only seven points clear of the drop with five games to go. That is still a fair margin for teams down that end of the table, especially with 18th placed Fulham on a run of four defeats from five winless outings.
However, they’re on a run of four winless outings themselves and having lost to rock-bottom Sheffield Utd last time out, it’s hard to get too excited about their chances.
It probably shouldn’t come as a surprise that the high pressing relentless work rate of Leeds is favouring a bit more of a break between fixtures.
Furthermore, they have gone an impressive nine wins from their 10 outings against the bottom seven in the table and although Brighton is the one anomaly, the Whites headed into that encounter after back-to-back defeats to Spurs in the league and Crawley in the FA Cup, whilst they were without their star midfielder Kalvin Phillips who was serving a ban.
Leeds +0.25 Asian Handicap
By contrast, the Seagulls against the teams we’d class as the middle of the table quality this term - Leeds, Arsenal, Villa, Wolves and Palace - have gone W2-D3-L2 this term, losing two of their four winless such outings at Amex Stadium.
In fact, they’ve won just twice at home all season which has certainly been their downfall in terms of table position, as only Sheffield Utd and Fulham have picked up fewer than their 14 points on home turf (0.88 points per game).
Marcelo Bielsa’s men have won back-back-back matches on the road now, coming against 17th placed Cottagers and the current league leaders Man City.
That latest trip over Pep Guardiola’s men remains just one of two times City have failed to win in the league from their last 21 outings dating back to mid-December, and we have to get behind the Whites to continue their impressive unbeaten run.
Leeds 1 goal Winning Margin
For another betting angle, we like the one goal winning margin. If Brighton do lose, it tends to be by a fine margin with all their last seven zero pointers seeing one goal separate the teams, while all of Leeds’ three most recent victories since mid-March have finished exactly 2-1.
Leeds +0.25 Asian Handicap At 24/25
0.5 Pts: Leeds 1 goal Winning Margin At 15/4
BRIGHTON V LEEDS ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 28/04/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
