27 Nov 2019
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Doing the double over Slovakian league leaders Slovan Bratislava has ensured Wolves sit comfortably in second place of this group, five points clear of third and just the solitary point behind group leaders Braga.
A point here would see the hosts through to the knockouts, but a defeat could see them needing a result against Besiktas in their last game to qualify, depending on how the other game swings this Thursday.
Excluding the League Cup, the Wanderers are unbeaten in their 11 matches since their last meeting with Braga in the reverse fixture, where they lost narrowly at Molineux.
A win in this clash would secure qualification for Nuno Espirito Santo’s men, though they’ll face a tough task to do so.
The Portuguese side have gone W7-D3-L1 at home this season in all competitions, with their only loss coming against Primeira Liga champions and leaders Benfica, so they can be forgiven for that.
However, four of these victories came in either the domestic cups or the qualification and playoff rounds for this competition where weaker teams were either encountered or fielded.
Indeed, despite losing only one of their six league matches against the bottom-half, against teams above Braga’s position of ninth they’ve gone just W1-D1-L3, as they struggle to compete with the league’s best this campaign.
Wolves, meanwhile, have seriously impressed us with their dogged performances on the road this term, as they’ve gone W7-D4-L1 across all tournaments when including their fixtures both in qualifiers and playoffs and they look the more likely of the two to book their spot in the knockouts.
Both Teams To Score
Astonishingly, Braga have managed to find the net in 76 of their 81 home fixtures across all competitions dating back to the beginning of the 2016/17 season when including qualifiers and play-offs, only failing to do so against Benfica (twice), Porto, Belenenses and Ludogrets, while they’ve also done so in 19 of their last 20 in this competition as both sides plundered in 16 of those.
The English side have also managed to find the net in 12 of 13 trips this season, with the only exception coming on the opening day against a resolute Leicester side, so the both teams to score market looks a near certainty here and we think it holds considerable value.
Wolves To Win 2-1
With none of Wolves’ last eight games since their triumph at the Etihad being decided by more than the solitary goal as both teams have netted in seven, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see another close one here.
Each of their last four wins have come by that single goal margin, with three finishing by a scoreline of 2-1, including each of their last two on the road, so the correct score looks a good market to have a small flutter on.
Correct Score Wolves 2-1 At 11/1
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