13 Nov 2019
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Bosnia and Herzegovina come into this international break almost certainly out of the running in the group. They’ll need to beat both Italy and Lichtenstein and hope Finland don’t pick up a win in the last two games to stand a chance, so they’ll be going all out for the three points.
Italy are in serious form themselves having won all eight games in this group and have now qualified for the Euro’s next summer, so it’s unclear whether Roberto Mancini will look to give some other players a chance on Friday night.
One player that Mancini will be without is Marco Verratti as he withdrew from the squad through injury. The PSG star been integral to Italy’s success in these qualifiers, scoring twice from midfield and only missing one game through suspension.
Indeed, the Azzurri have won nine of their 11 unbeaten matches with the midfield maestro since late March 2018, while they’re just W2-D3-L2 without him in that time, so he’ll be a big miss in the center of the park.
Young star Sandro Tonali has taken his place in the squad, but with just 16 minutes of international football under his belt he’ll be hard pushed to make a similar impact to the man he’s replaced, while Domenico Berardi and Leonardo Spinazzola have also been forced to pull out.
Verratti and Chiellini Out, Dzeko Back
In fact, to add insult to injury their captain Giorgio Chiellini still remains sidelined and without him since the start of 2018, they’ve lost 25% of their 12 matches while they remain unbeaten in the seven with him.
Edin Dzeko is back in the squad for Bosnia, while captain Miralem Pjanic will continue to dictate things for his country in midfield.
The Roma striker has missed their last two games with a cheekbone fracture, though he managed to score in each of his three international games prior to that injury, including the reverse fixture in Turin and will be a real test for an Italian backline who’re missing their leader.
Bosnia To Win
The reverse of this fixture ended 2-1 to the Azzurri courtesy of an 86th minute Verratti winner, though this could be a completely different story at Bilino Polje Stadium where the home side have a phenomenal track record having lost just one of their last 17 home games when including international friendlies, while even that defeat was just by a single goal thanks to a 83rd minute winner against current world number one side Belgium in 2017, and they also drew 1-1 with them back in 2014 during this run.
Although the hardest teams they’ve faced over this period have been The Red Devils (twice), Greece (twice), Austria, Wales and Ireland, Italy’s qualification and injury troubles makes the outright for the hosts a much more appealing proposition, and we’re happy to take them on at the price.
0.5 pts: Bosnia to Win At 21/10
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