26 Nov 2019
TREBLE: LIVERPOOL, SLAVIA AND BARCELONA ALL TO WIN MAX BET £10
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Dortmund ran out winners having come back from 2-0 down at home to Antonio Conte’s Inter Milan to win 3-2 at the Westfalenstadion on the last matchday.
That lifted them three points clear of the Italians and within just one point of Barcelona at the top of the group, after the Catalans played out a shock 0-0 draw hosting Slavia Prague. However, looking further back, the Spanish side hold a superb record here.
Ernesto Valverde’s charges have won 16 of 17 unbeaten meetings here in all competitions dating back to a 1-0 defeat to Girona in March, beating all of Liverpool, Atletico Madrid, Man Utd, Valencia, Sevilla, Inter Milan and Villarreal in that time, so it’s no surprise to see them as such strong favourites here.
In Fact, they’ve lost just one of their last 56 matches here in Europe, winning 30 of 34 unbeaten outings since 2013/14.
Dortmund have been unconvincing thus far in the league as they sit in sixth, while they also went 3-0 down at home to Paderborn on Friday before fighting back to level the scores and earn a point. The hosts are pretty much a shoe in for this one, but there’s little value to be had in backing them outright.
Barcelona hold a solid defensive home record in Europe over the years, as they’ve only leaked 16 goals across those aforementioned 34 matches and haven’t conceded more than the solitary strike in that time.
Despite this, recent domestic results suggest they’re not quite as solid at the back as it would appear, with the La Liga champions conceding seven times across their opening six home league games and recording just the solitary clean sheet.
Dortmund Struggling To Score
Given Dortmund possess some serious firepower through the likes of Paco Alcacer, Jadon Sancho and Marco Reus, we can see them registering on the scoresheet. However, their recent away record gives some cause for concern.
They’ve now failed to score in 293 minutes of football on the road and travelling to Barca is not exactly the easiest place to break that duck, so we’re inclined to avoid any market based on the away team’s goals.
Lionel Messi To Score Anytime
However, there seems to be some value in backing five-time Ballon D’or winner Lionel Messi to find the back of the net in this one.
Despite missing the opening part of the season, the Argentine is still the league’s second-top scorer with eight goals, while he’s also chipped in with five assists.
What’s more, his record against German sides further strengthens his case. He came off the bench in the reverse fixture so had little time to make an impact, though he’s managed 15 goals in 12 starts against German opposition – including 12 in eight since March 2010 – and he looks good value to make a similar impact here.
Lionel Messi To Score Anytime At 7/10
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