17 Oct 2019
ENGLAND, NEW ZEALAND, WALES AND SOUTH AFRICA ALL TO WIN AT 2/1 HERE!
How They Progressed
Following Ireland’s defeat to Japan back in September that put them runner-up in Pool A, they’ve now set themselves up for an almighty quarter-final clash against the number one team in the World, New Zealand.
The Kiwis have coasted to this stage of the competition having seen off the Springboks (23-13) in their opening fixture while they’ve only faced Canada (63-0) and Namibia (71-9), after their final pool fixture with Italy was abandoned due to Typhoon Hagibis.
Ireland Recent Form
It has been somewhat of a fall from grace for the Irish over the last year. Having lost just one of their 19 games between mid-March 2017 and the end of 2018, they’ve since been defeated in four of their 13 outings.
In fact, excluding their World Cup warm up matches, they’ve won six of their nine fixtures this year, each of those victories coming against Scotland (twice), Italy, France, Russia and Samoa, while that standout result against Les Bleus came at the Aviva Stadium and each of their three defeats came in their only matches with the current top seven sides in the Rugby World Rankings – England, Wales & Japan.
Indeed, England salvaged an impressive 12-point win when visiting the men in green in the recent Six Nations, Warren Gatland’s men put them to the sword by 25-7 at the Principality Stadium in that same tournament and finally the Cherry Blossoms fought their way to a seven point victory this tournament.
Based on those results, we’re very surprised to see the handicap line at just 12 points for this tussle, with New Zealand head and shoulders ahead of the rest of the field.
New Zealand -12 Point Handicap
The All Blacks have now won 17 back-to-back World Cup matches if we exclude their abandoned fixture with Italy last weekend, while they’ve covered that 12-point handicap line in an outstanding 11 of their 17 Webb Ellis Cup fixtures with Tier 1 nations this century, including three of their four quarter-final clashes.
Indeed, if we take a closer look at those results at this stage of the competition, we can see that they’ve won by 20, 23 and 49 points margins over South Africa, Argentina and France respectively in their three such victories, with the latter two Hansen’s only two as head coach, as he maintains an immaculate record with this side at the last eight stage.
Aki Suspended
To add insult to injury, Joe Schmidt will have to fare without his star centre Bundee Aki who was sent off in their concluding Pool A match against Samoa.
That will likely see Robbie Henshaw fill the void, but that will no doubt weaken their side with the Connacht centre becoming such a crucial cog in their setup.
Head-To-Head
The only factor that goes the way of Ireland in this fixture is the recent head-to-heads. The Northern Hemisphere side have won two of the three meetings since 2016, while their meeting back in 2013 only saw the Kiwis take the win thanks to a converted stoppage time try in the corner.
However, three of those four fixtures came at the Aviva Stadium, while if we look at their matches at all venues this century, the Irish have lost a staggering 15 of their 17 clashes and couple that with their current dip in form, we wouldn’t be surprised to see as many as 20 points separate the sides, but we’ll stick to the line at a decent price.
New Zealand -12 Point Handicap At Evs
ALL BLACKS V IRELAND TEAMS
New Zealand: 15 Beauden Barrett, 14 Sevu Reece, 13 Jack Goodhue, 12 Anton Lienert-Brown, 11 George Bridge, 10 Richie Mo’unga, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Kieran Read (c), 7 Sam Cane, 6 Ardie Savea, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Brodie Retallick, 3 Nepo Laulala, 2 Codie Taylor, 1 Joe Moody
Replacements: 16 Dane Coles, 17 Ofa Tu’ungafasi, 18 Angus Ta’avao, 19 Scott Barrett, 20 Matt Todd, 21 TJ Perenara, 22 Sonny Bill Williams, 23 Jordie Barrett
Ireland: 15 Rob Kearney, 14 Keith Earls, 13 Garry Ringrose, 12 Robbie Henshaw, 11 Jacob Stockdale, 10 Johnny Sexton, 9 Conor Murray, 8 CJ Stander, 7 Josh van der Flier, 6 Peter O’Mahony, 5 James Ryan, 4 Iain Henderson, 3 Tadhg Furlong, 2 Rory Best (c), 1 Cian Healy
Replacements: 16 Niall Scannell, 17 Dave Kilcoyne, 18 Andrew Porter, 19 Tadhg Beirne, 20 Rhys Ruddock, 21 Luke McGrath, 22 Joey Carbery, 23 Jordan Larmour
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